Over the 30 growing seasons from 1991 to 2020, Niagara Peninsula's vines saw on average 1,410 growing degree days between April and October. That puts it in Winkler region II, close in heat and rain to Finger Lakes, Hawke's Bay and Burgundy (Côte d'Or). In a typical year about 555 mm of rain falls in the growing season, 151 mm of it in September–October.
Since 2000 the warmest season was 2012 (+18% against normal) and the coolest 2003 (-13%). The wettest harvest window was 2006, with 258 mm against a normal 151 mm.
The last 10 vintages (2016–2025) averaged +3% against the 1991–2020 normal, compared with -1% for 2000–2009; 4 of those 10 seasons were warmer than normal by more than 3%.
Heat, vintage by vintage
Growing degree days (base 10°C) for each season. The dashed line is the 1991–2020 normal (1,410 GDD) and the shaded band one standard deviation either side: about two years in three fall inside it.
Much cooler (8%+ fewer GDD)
Cooler
Near normal (±3%)
Warmer
Much warmer (8%+ more)
Rain in the season and at harvest
Full bar: rain over the whole growing season. Dark part: rain in the harvest window (September–October). The line is the normal season total, 555 mm.